Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.9%
Fleetwood Town
23.6%
Draw
51.5%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.54
Charlton
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.4%
1-1
11.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).