Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.0%
Holstein Kiel
22.5%
Draw
42.5%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.99
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS72.6%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.572.8%
Over 3.552.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-3
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
3-2
4.3%
0-1
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
1-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).