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28 Feb 2026 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.8%
Castellon
20.6%
Draw
33.7%
Santander

Expected Goals (xG)

2.11

Castellon

vs
1.80

Santander

Markets

BTTS73.3%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.574.9%
Over 3.555.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.0%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
3-2
5.1%
2-0
4.5%
2-3
4.3%
1-0
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
0-1
3.7%
0-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).