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HHT: 11CSV

02 Apr 2022 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.8%
Pau FC
28.1%
Draw
46.1%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Pau FC

vs
1.19

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS37.1%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.557.9%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.514.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.4%
0-0
12.7%
1-0
12.0%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.8%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).