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17 Jan 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.1%
Sheffield Wednesday
30.4%
Draw
48.5%
Portsmouth

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Sheffield Wednesday

vs
1.31

Portsmouth

Markets

BTTS40.3%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.4%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
13.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
4.9%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).