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DHT: 20CSV

14 Mar 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.4%
Salford
21.2%
Draw
56.4%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Salford

vs
1.93

Stockport

Markets

BTTS57.6%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
0-1
9.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
0-3
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
4.2%
2-3
3.6%
1-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).