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AHT: 12CSV

20 Nov 2021 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.4%
Vicenza
31.3%
Draw
29.3%
Brescia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Vicenza

vs
1.02

Brescia

Markets

BTTS46.4%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.0%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).