Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.8%
Eibar
28.7%
Draw
24.6%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Eibar
vs
0.84
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
12.0%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).