⚽ FootballData
1 – 0
HHT: 10CSV

13 Sept 2025 · 15:00

Wolves

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
64.2%
Newcastle
23.2%
Draw
12.6%
Wolves

Expected Goals (xG)

1.99

Newcastle

vs
0.79

Wolves

Markets

BTTS48.6%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.3%
1-1
11.1%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.1%
0-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).