Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.9%
Paris SG
21.8%
Draw
23.4%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Paris SG
vs
1.09
Lille
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
0-0
4.9%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).