Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.8%
Ad. Demirspor
14.6%
Draw
78.6%
Besiktas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Ad. Demirspor
vs
3.12
Besiktas
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.592.6%
Over 2.577.2%
Over 3.558.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
8.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
0-4
6.7%
1-4
6.4%
1-1
6.4%
0-5
4.2%
0-1
4.0%
1-5
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).