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30 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.8%
Leyton Orient
26.8%
Draw
37.4%
Mansfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Leyton Orient

vs
1.21

Mansfield

Markets

BTTS47.8%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.7%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).