Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Sporting Gijón
22.8%
Draw
41.2%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Sporting Gijón
vs
1.71
Almeria
Markets
BTTS65.1%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-0
6.0%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).