Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.8%
Arbroath
17.8%
Draw
9.5%
Kelty Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Arbroath
vs
0.74
Kelty Hearts
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
1-0
10.3%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
5.8%
0-0
5.1%
4-1
4.2%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
0-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).