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23 Sept 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.7%
Gaziantep
23.6%
Draw
57.6%
Trabzonspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.30

Gaziantep

vs
2.29

Trabzonspor

Markets

BTTS67.4%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.548.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
0-0
4.8%
2-3
4.7%
0-1
4.3%
1-4
4.1%
0-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).