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DHT: 00CSV

01 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.5%
Lens
35.9%
Draw
37.6%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.61

Lens

vs
0.80

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS24.3%
Over 0.576.7%
Over 1.540.4%
Over 2.517.0%
Over 3.55.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
23.3%
0-1
20.4%
1-0
15.9%
1-1
11.0%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
2-1
3.7%
0-3
2.1%
2-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
3-0
0.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).