Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Ascoli
31.0%
Draw
18.9%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Ascoli
vs
0.72
Bari
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
8.1%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
0-2
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).