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24 Aug 2025 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.8%
Lechia Gdańsk
17.4%
Draw
15.8%
Arka Gdynia

Expected Goals (xG)

2.76

Lechia Gdańsk

vs
1.34

Arka Gdynia

Markets

BTTS69.7%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.592.1%
Over 2.577.7%
Over 3.558.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.4%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-0
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
4-1
5.4%
3-2
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
1-0
4.0%
4-0
4.0%
4-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).