Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.5%
Aves
27.4%
Draw
46.1%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Aves
vs
1.29
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).