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17 Feb 2021 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.6%
Leganes
26.4%
Draw
37.0%
Almeria

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Leganes

vs
1.28

Almeria

Markets

BTTS51.9%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.1%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
7.6%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).