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03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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77.7%
Sherwood Colliery
13.1%
Draw
9.3%
Grantham Town

Expected Goals (xG)

2.88

Sherwood Colliery

vs
0.92

Grantham Town

Markets

BTTS56.6%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.573.2%
Over 3.552.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.3%
3-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
1-0
6.6%
4-0
6.4%
4-1
5.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
5-0
3.7%
5-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).