Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.5%
Leeds
29.9%
Draw
26.6%
Nottingham Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Leeds
vs
1.08
Nottingham Forest
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
9.9%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).