Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Cheltenham
27.3%
Draw
32.8%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Cheltenham
vs
1.00
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.7%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).