Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.0%
Woodford Town
24.4%
Draw
16.5%
Bury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Woodford Town
vs
0.69
Bury
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
10.9%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).