Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.3%
Padova
32.6%
Draw
29.1%
Juve Stabia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Padova
vs
0.95
Juve Stabia
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.8%
1-0
12.7%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).