Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.6%
Mirandes
28.8%
Draw
49.6%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Mirandes
vs
1.29
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.0%
0-0
13.0%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
0-3
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
2-0
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).