Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Zaragoza
27.7%
Draw
40.0%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Zaragoza
vs
1.25
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
12.1%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).