Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.3%
Aris
19.7%
Draw
17.0%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Aris
vs
0.98
Lyon
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
0-0
4.3%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).