Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.6%
Göztepe
21.3%
Draw
8.1%
Ad. Demirspor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Göztepe
vs
0.72
Ad. Demirspor
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
1-1
10.2%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
7.0%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
3.0%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).