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19 Mar 2022 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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77.5%
Inter
14.2%
Draw
8.2%
Fiorentina

Expected Goals (xG)

2.58

Inter

vs
0.72

Fiorentina

Markets

BTTS47.3%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.3%
3-0
10.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
6.8%
1-1
6.7%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
3.6%
5-0
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
0-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).