Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.3%
Venezia
26.0%
Draw
20.6%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Venezia
vs
1.00
Parma
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).