Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.0%
Altrincham
24.7%
Draw
36.3%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Altrincham
vs
1.62
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS66.2%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
0-0
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).