Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.9%
Morecambe
25.2%
Draw
41.9%
Tamworth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Morecambe
vs
1.69
Tamworth
Markets
BTTS63.7%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
1-0
5.4%
0-0
5.1%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).