Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.9%
Shrewsbury
25.8%
Draw
47.3%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Shrewsbury
vs
1.33
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
9.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).