Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.2%
Wigan
30.9%
Draw
50.9%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Wigan
vs
1.31
Millwall
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.531.9%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.0%
0-0
14.8%
1-1
13.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
0-3
5.1%
2-1
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-0
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).