Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.0%
Le Havre
30.6%
Draw
42.4%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Le Havre
vs
1.03
Lorient
Markets
BTTS32.7%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.551.9%
Over 2.526.3%
Over 3.510.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.5%
0-0
15.9%
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
6.7%
2-1
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.1%
2-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).