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26 Jan 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.6%
Fenerbahce
28.7%
Draw
16.6%
Göztepe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.78

Fenerbahce

vs
0.93

Göztepe

Markets

BTTS53.0%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
0-1
3.4%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).