Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Swindon
28.8%
Draw
33.6%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Swindon
vs
1.01
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
11.7%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).