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AHT: 12CSV

20 Aug 2022 · 16:00

Lens

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.6%
Monaco
24.6%
Draw
40.8%
Lens

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Monaco

vs
1.47

Lens

Markets

BTTS56.4%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).