Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.6%
Milton Keynes Dons
23.2%
Draw
32.2%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
1.34
Swindon
Markets
BTTS58.7%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
0-0
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).