Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.9%
Brest
23.1%
Draw
54.0%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Brest
vs
1.66
Lens
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.5%
1-1
11.0%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
6.5%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).