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AHT: 11CSV

26 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.8%
Fylde
21.7%
Draw
67.5%
Rochdale

Expected Goals (xG)

0.66

Fylde

vs
1.97

Rochdale

Markets

BTTS42.4%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
14.0%
0-1
13.4%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
9.2%
0-0
8.0%
1-3
6.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-0
4.0%
2-1
3.1%
2-2
3.1%
1-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).