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AHT: 01CSV

08 Mar 2025 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.0%
Charleroi
26.7%
Draw
30.4%
Mechelen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.51

Charleroi

vs
1.24

Mechelen

Markets

BTTS56.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
7.1%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).