Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.9%
Monaco
14.7%
Draw
8.4%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47
Monaco
vs
0.68
Clermont
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
3-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
7.0%
4-0
6.7%
4-1
4.5%
0-0
4.1%
5-0
3.3%
0-1
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).