Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.7%
Hull
23.0%
Draw
21.3%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Hull
vs
0.87
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
2-0
10.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
7.4%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).