Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.5%
West Brom
27.6%
Draw
15.9%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
West Brom
vs
0.77
Watford
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
12.1%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).