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15 Apr 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.5%
Inverness C
35.3%
Draw
40.2%
Kilmarnock

Expected Goals (xG)

0.81

Inverness C

vs
1.11

Kilmarnock

Markets

BTTS39.4%
Over 0.583.3%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.7%
1-1
15.3%
0-1
14.1%
1-0
9.8%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).