Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.9%
Ross County
25.9%
Draw
57.2%
Motherwell
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Ross County
vs
1.64
Motherwell
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
1-1
12.1%
0-2
12.0%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).