Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.9%
Harrogate
17.5%
Draw
71.6%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Harrogate
vs
2.16
Stockport
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.5%
0-1
12.9%
0-3
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.3%
1-3
6.7%
0-0
5.4%
0-4
5.2%
1-0
4.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
2-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).