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22 Apr 2026 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.1%
Sheffield United
28.5%
Draw
19.5%
Blackburn

Expected Goals (xG)

1.48

Sheffield United

vs
0.81

Blackburn

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.0%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).